Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.232691 0.264066 0.297607 0.336075 0.378914 0.425096 0.478591
2025-10-05 0.191756 0.234052 0.282179 0.340787 0.410011 0.488942 0.585515
2025-10-12 0.164833 0.214280 0.273639 0.349695 0.444056 0.556744 0.700913
2025-10-19 0.141873 0.195273 0.262543 0.352720 0.469544 0.614785 0.807881
2025-10-26 0.125612 0.182069 0.256338 0.359987 0.499479 0.679096 0.925971
2025-11-02 0.113640 0.172686 0.253480 0.370394 0.533174 0.749386 1.055356
2025-11-09 0.099980 0.159037 0.242965 0.368682 0.549433 0.796610 1.156046
2025-11-16 0.088789 0.147470 0.233882 0.367554 0.565535 0.843606 1.258125
2025-11-23 0.079201 0.137088 0.225262 0.365863 0.579977 0.888278 1.358524
2025-11-30 0.073222 0.131609 0.223319 0.373621 0.608285 0.953743 1.491485
2025-12-07 0.066374 0.123877 0.217000 0.373800 0.624668 1.002044 1.601177
2025-12-14 0.060360 0.116836 0.211025 0.373782 0.640309 1.049518 1.711379
2025-12-21 0.054834 0.110213 0.205411 0.374319 0.657530 1.101426 1.832930
2025-12-28 0.050837 0.105889 0.203260 0.380354 0.683890 1.168821 1.981833
2026-01-04 0.047903 0.103200 0.203661 0.390661 0.717795 1.249759 2.155904
2026-01-11 0.044276 0.098745 0.200450 0.394270 0.740415 1.313398 2.305067
2026-01-18 0.041622 0.095900 0.199886 0.402448 0.771205 1.391731 2.481517
2026-01-25 0.039623 0.094156 0.201191 0.414029 0.808485 1.482471 2.682305
2026-02-01 0.036232 0.089076 0.195586 0.412186 0.821485 1.532470 2.816791
2026-02-08 0.033250 0.084516 0.190560 0.410967 0.835344 1.584322 2.956354
2026-02-15 0.030496 0.080126 0.185454 0.409114 0.847735 1.633931 3.093865
2026-02-22 0.028971 0.078380 0.185632 0.417692 0.880128 1.720227 3.298732
2026-03-01 0.026828 0.074911 0.181841 0.417894 0.896363 1.778063 3.455480